The Dollar Goes Nowhere After The Fed Speaks

September 26, 2016

The dollar is trading in the middle of its seven month and fifteen year range as it is between 95-96 on the active month dollar index futures contract. In my latest piece for Seeking Alpha I explain why I think the dollar is about to become highly volatile and that will translate to huge variance across all asset classes.

Article: The Dollar Goes Nowhere After The Fed Speaks

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

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The Dollar Is Close To Support- 5 Reasons It Will Not Crash

August 29, 2016

The dollar has been moving lower since late July as the U.S. central bank once again disappointed markets by not increasing the Fed Funds rate. In my latest piece for Seeking Alpha, I explain the five key reasons that the dollar is close to lows and why it is likely to bounce and move to the upper end of the trading range once again. I also point to another currency, the oldest in the world, that is the strongest means of exchange against all currencies in 2016.

Article: The Dollar Is Close To Support- 5 Reasons It Will Not Crash

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

The Fed Sets the Path for Higher Commodity Prices

August 1, 2016

The Federal Reserve spoke last week and left interest rates unchanged. The next meeting of the central bank will come in September. In my latest article for CQG, I explain why eight months of unchanged interest rate policy will likely mean gains for some commodity prices in the face of an accommodative Fed that makes promises and hawkish statements but has only had excuses or pledges rather than action in 2016.

Article: The Fed Sets the Path for Higher Commodity Prices

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

A Strong Dollar Takes A Toll On Commodities

August 1, 2016

The dollar rallied after the Brexit vote and is currently a lot closer to the highs since May 2014 than the lows.In my latest piece for Seeking Alpha I explain why dollar strength is nothing but a mirage when it comes to commodity prices and why we could see a breakdown in the historical inverse relationship between the dollar an raw material prices. We are already seeing this phenomenon in the precious metals sector.

Article: A Strong Dollar Takes A Toll On Commodities

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

Commodities- Winners and losers in Q2 2016 and looking ahead to Q3

July 5, 2016

Commodities had their best quarterly result in quite some time in Q2. In my latest article for the Commodity Strategist on CQG I review the action of the past three months and look forward to Q3 of 2016.

Article: Commodities- Winners and losers in Q2 2016 and looking ahead to Q3

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

The Perfect Storm For Commodities- Four Compelling Reasons

June 20, 2016

Commodities were in a bear market from 2012-2015 but prices have recovered. In my latest work for Seeking Alpha, I outline the four compelling reasons why we could be on the verge of a perfect bullish storm for raw material prices and why volatility is going the be the main theme for the rest of 2016.

Article: The Perfect Storm For Commodities- Four Compelling Reasons

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

Huge Technical Signal for Commodities

June 6, 2016

The dollar index put in a bullish key-reversal trading pattern on the long-term month chart in May. In my latest posting for The Commodity Strategist, I warn of the consequences of this significant chart pattern for the dollar and commodity prices for the weeks and months to come.

Article: Huge Technical Signal for Commodities

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities