China And Commodities- The Strategy Continues

September 26, 2016

Last week we learned that a Chinese company bought 17% of a significant Australian cattle exporter. In my latest piece for Seeking Alpha, I explain why this is just another small move in the overall Chinese strategy to control and dominate commodity flows around the world.

Article: China And Commodities- The Strategy Continues

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

Natural Gas Shows Its True Colors

September 19, 2016

Natural gas was once again above $2.90 per MMBtu last week, this is the fourth time since July that the energy commodity has attempted to rally. In my latest article for Seeking Alpha, I examine the latest rally and suggest some trading strategies to be on board when it finally breaks above resistance at $3.022 on the October futures contract.

Article: Natural Gas Shows Its True Colors

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

Every Portfolio Should Own Some Commodity Exposure

September 19,2016

The price for almost a decade of low interest rates and the quantitative easing programs of central banks around the world is likely to be inflation. In my latest piece for Seeking Alpha, I explain why every portfolio needs some inflation insurance these days and the turn in the commodity cycle could make one particular market product a good addition for those who do not want to trade or invest directly in commodity assets.

Article: Every Portfolio Should Own Some Commodity Exposure

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

The BDI Says China Is Buying

September 19, 2016

The Baltic Dry Index is an important metric when it comes to gauging the demand for raw materials around the world. In my latest work for Seeking Alpha, I examine the BDI and it’s rally from all-time lows of 290 in February to around the 800 level today and what that means for the future of commodity prices and the global economic landscape.

Article: The BDI Says China Is Buying

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

The Dollar Is Stuck In Neutral But An Important Event Could Trigger A Big Move

September 19, 2016

The dollar has traded in a range of 92-97 since March. In my latest article for Seeking Alpha I examine the greenback and explain why the Fed will likely determine the path of least resistance for the currency this week but the election looms much larger on the horizon. I also recommend a way to position for a big move, a break out to the upside or break down to the downside in the dollar using an instrument with limited risk but a huge profit potential.

Article: The Dollar Is Stuck In Neutral But An Important Event Could Trigger A Big Move

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

What Happens to Commodities When Interest Rates Finally Rise?

September 9, 2016

There is a significant historical relationship between commodity prices and interest rates. In my latest article for About.com, I explain the correlation between raw materials, rates of interest and the dollar.

Article: What Happens to Commodities When Interest Rates Finally Rise?

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

Higher Rates Increase The Cost Of Carrying Commodity Inventories

September 6, 2016

The Fed told us that an interest rate hike is ‘imminent’ two weeks ago and last Friday’s employment report was a non-event higher interest rates are bullish for the dollar and a double-bearish whammy for commodities prices. In my latest piece for Seeking Alpha, I explain why higher rates are bearish for raw material prices but how there are so many other factors that determine the path of least resistance for these staple assets.

Article: Higher Rates Increase The Cost Of Carrying Commodity Inventories

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

Phibro- A Cat With Nine Lives

August 29, 2016

I began my career in the world of commodities in the summer of 1976 as a clerk delivering telex messages to the traders and traffic personnel at Philipp Brothers. In 2016, Simon Greenshields the ex-head of commodity trading at Morgan Stanley bought the name Phibro from Occidental Petroleum and in my latest article for Seeking Alpha, I look at the history of the firm and the timing when it comes to bringing the company back to its former greatness.

Article: Phibro- A Cat With Nine Lives

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

Commodity Stocks Are Telling Us Something

August 15, 2016

Editor’s Pick

Investment in commodities are a totally different animal that investments in the shares of companies that produce the commodity. In my latest work for Seeking Alpha, I explain the difference between the two and look at some commodities where share prices of producers have outperformed price action in commodity and some that have underperformed setting up opportunities for some pretty compelling pair trades.

Article: Commodity Stocks Are Telling Us Something

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities

Doctor Copper Looks Sick

August 8, 2016

Markets have been highly volatile in 2016 and the continuation of accommodative central bank policies, whipsaw action in currencies and uncertainty have led many commodity prices to rally from multiyear lows. In my latest article for Seeking Alpha I look at copper which has been a laggard when it comes to precious, ferrous and even other nonferrous metals and explain why this red metal is caught in a funk.

Article: Doctor Copper Looks Sick

Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities